Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.000601 0.000686 0.000777 0.000880 0.000993 0.001115 0.001254
2025-08-10 0.000476 0.000595 0.000731 0.000896 0.001089 0.001307 0.001570
2025-08-17 0.000402 0.000536 0.000695 0.000897 0.001142 0.001430 0.001788
2025-08-24 0.000332 0.000470 0.000642 0.000868 0.001152 0.001496 0.001936
2025-08-31 0.000279 0.000417 0.000597 0.000841 0.001158 0.001551 0.002068
2025-09-07 0.000245 0.000385 0.000574 0.000838 0.001191 0.001638 0.002239
2025-09-14 0.000218 0.000360 0.000556 0.000839 0.001227 0.001728 0.002412
2025-09-21 0.000192 0.000332 0.000533 0.000831 0.001247 0.001797 0.002561
2025-09-28 0.000169 0.000305 0.000508 0.000816 0.001258 0.001851 0.002689
2025-10-05 0.000158 0.000298 0.000510 0.000840 0.001321 0.001978 0.002916
2025-10-12 0.000147 0.000288 0.000508 0.000857 0.001375 0.002091 0.003127
2025-10-19 0.000132 0.000269 0.000490 0.000849 0.001391 0.002152 0.003268
2025-10-26 0.000116 0.000248 0.000467 0.000832 0.001395 0.002197 0.003387
2025-11-02 0.000107 0.000238 0.000462 0.000842 0.001437 0.002296 0.003587
2025-11-09 0.000097 0.000227 0.000452 0.000844 0.001467 0.002379 0.003763
2025-11-16 0.000084 0.000206 0.000425 0.000816 0.001449 0.002391 0.003837
2025-11-23 0.000073 0.000187 0.000401 0.000790 0.001434 0.002404 0.003913
2025-11-30 0.000066 0.000177 0.000391 0.000788 0.001454 0.002472 0.004069
2025-12-07 0.000060 0.000169 0.000383 0.000789 0.001480 0.002547 0.004237
2025-12-14 0.000054 0.000158 0.000371 0.000781 0.001491 0.002599 0.004371
2025-12-21 0.000048 0.000147 0.000356 0.000767 0.001491 0.002634 0.004481
2025-12-28 0.000046 0.000146 0.000361 0.000790 0.001552 0.002767 0.004740
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000143 0.000362 0.000806 0.001603 0.002883 0.004977